Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz1 - 2Werder Bremen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Mainz
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-0 Dortmund
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 1-0 Werder Bremen
Though Mainz are yet to win this season, they demonstrated against Stuttgart that they are difficult to beat. Additionally, while Werder Bremen have done well to remain unbeaten in recent Bundesliga matches, they have struggled to create many chances in their opening two league games of 2024-25. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
54.76% ( 1.02) | 22.61% ( -0.22) | 22.62% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% ( 0.11) | 42.81% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.78% ( 0.11) | 65.21% ( -0.11) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( 0.39) | 15.55% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.51% ( 0.72) | 44.48% ( -0.72) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.65) | 32.73% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.71% ( -0.73) | 69.29% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 54.76%
Werder Bremen 22.62%
Draw 22.61%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.66% Total : 54.76% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.43% Total : 22.62% |
How you voted: Mainz vs Werder Bremen
Mainz 05
64.3%Draw
23.2%Werder Bremen
12.5%56
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mainz
0-1
Werder Bremen
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Werder Bremen
4-0
Mainz
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Form Guide
