We said: Heidenheim 2-1 Mainz 05
Considering their strong record at Voith Arena, we are expecting a competent performance from Heidenheim on Sunday, leading to back-to-back Bundesliga victories.
Mainz are going well under fresh management, but a host of injuries and suspensions could cost them dearly on their travels in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.