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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Heidenheim

Mainz
0 - 1
Heidenheim


Krauss (38'), Ajorque (44'), Gruda (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pieringer (12')
Gimber (30'), Busch (34'), Beste (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-1 Heidenheim

While a draw will not be surprising, Mainz could inflict another away loss on Heidenheim, whose next defeat on the road would be their seventh. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawHeidenheim
47.47% (0.184 0.18) 23.69% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 28.84% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 59.4% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.76% (0.133 0.13)42.24% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.36% (0.134 0.13)64.64% (-0.131 -0.13)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.122 0.12)17.99% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (0.21 0.21)48.85% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)27.57% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)63.09% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 47.47%
    Heidenheim 28.84%
    Draw 23.69%
Mainz 05DrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.84%

How you voted: Mainz vs Heidenheim

Mainz 05
53.3%
Draw
26.7%
Heidenheim
20.0%
15
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern44001631312
2Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen430113949
4Freiburg43018449
5Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt43017439
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin42204228
7RB Leipzig42204228
8Stuttgart421112847
9Heidenheim42028716
10Mainz 05Mainz41218805
11Werder Bremen412148-45
12Augsburg4112710-34
13Wolfsburg410389-13
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach410358-33
15Hoffenheim4103611-53
16St Pauli401316-51
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel4013513-81


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