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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 10, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Mainz logo

FC Koln
0 - 0
Mainz


Martel (50'), Uth (85')
FT

Krauss (58'), Kohr (83'), Papela (84'), Widmer (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 0-1 Freiburg
Sunday, December 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-1 Mainz 05

No team has scored fewer goals than these two sides in the Bundesliga so far this season, meaning we are unlikely to see either goalkeeper troubled on too many occasions at RheinEnergieStadion on Sunday. With both sides appearing set for relegation battles despite previously enjoying a rise up the table in the last couple of years, we can envisage them sharing the spoils with little to split them in terms of quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawMainz 05
41.52% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 24.21% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 34.27% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 60.19% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.67% (0.11499999999999 0.11)42.33% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.27% (0.114 0.11)64.73% (-0.108 -0.11)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94% (0.0040000000000049 0)53.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (0.12299999999999 0.12)24.24% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (0.17 0.17)58.59% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 41.52%
    Mainz 05 34.27%
    Draw 24.21%
FC KolnDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 41.52%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.21%
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.27%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Mainz

FC Koln
37.5%
Draw
40.6%
Mainz 05
21.9%
32
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
FC Koln
1-1
Mainz
Ljubicic (51')
Ajorque (17')
Oct 21, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Mainz
5-0
FC Koln
Ingvartsen (11' pen.), Kohr (35'), Stach (40'), Caricol (73'), Onisiwo (84')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
FC Koln
3-2
Mainz
Skhiri (60'), Ljubicic (78'), Kilian (82')
Chabot (34'), Modeste (79')
Burkardt (14'), Onisiwo (55')
Caricol (36'), Stach (65')
Nov 21, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Mainz
1-1
FC Koln
Burkardt (41')
Bell (42'), Szalai (90+1')
Ozcan (47')
Duda (54')
Apr 11, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 28
FC Koln
2-3
Mainz
Duda (43' pen.), Skhiri (61')
Duda (22'), Katterbach (34')
Boetius (11'), Onisiwo (65'), Barreiro (90+1')
Mwene (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern44001631312
2Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen430113949
4Freiburg43018449
5Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt43017439
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin42204228
7RB Leipzig42204228
8Stuttgart421112847
9Heidenheim42028716
10Mainz 05Mainz41218805
11Werder Bremen412148-45
12Augsburg4112710-34
13Wolfsburg410389-13
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach410358-33
15Hoffenheim4103611-53
16St Pauli401316-51
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel4013513-81


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