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SV Darmstadt
Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Mainz logo

SV Darmstadt 98
0 - 0
Mainz


Klarer (69'), Hornby (73'), Franjic (90+1')
FT

van den Berg (35'), Zentner (57'), Kohr (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-2 VfL Bochum
Friday, November 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-2 Mainz 05

Having made great strides under Svensson's management in recent seasons, it had been somewhat surprising to see Mainz struggling at the bottom of the table as the only team in the Bundesliga without a victory. However, we expect them to kick on after finally ending that record against Leipzig last time out. Darmstadt, on the other hand, are missing some key players through suspension and could be low on confidence after suffering three successive defeats. While they should be competitive, we can envisage a narrow away win on Saturday, which would leave the hosts in the bottom three during the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98DrawMainz 05
39.17% (-0.142 -0.14) 24.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 36.28% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 59.33% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.39% (0.1 0.1)43.61% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34% (0.097999999999999 0.1)66% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)22.22% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)55.64% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28% (0.13200000000001 0.13)23.72% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15% (0.189 0.19)57.85% (-0.192 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    SV Darmstadt 98 39.17%
    Mainz 05 36.28%
    Draw 24.55%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 39.17%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 36.28%

How you voted: SV Darmstadt 98 vs Mainz

SV Darmstadt 98
47.1%
Draw
17.6%
Mainz 05
35.3%
34
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2017 2.30pm
SV Darmstadt 98
2-1
Mainz
Sulu (5'), Sam (13' pen.)
Vrancic (53'), Gondorf (77'), Platte (91'), Niemeyer (91')
Vrancic (59')
Quaison (45')
Ramalho (18'), Bell (45'), Cordoba (66')
Bell (90')
Oct 16, 2016 2.30pm
Mainz
2-1
SV Darmstadt 98
De Blasis (5'), Malli (56' pen.)
Brosinski (38'), Bell (61'), Cordoba (93')
Schipplock (92')
Milosevic (23')
Mar 6, 2016 2.30pm
Oct 2, 2015 7.30pm
SV Darmstadt 98
2-3
Mainz
Heller (27'), Sailer (57')
Caldirola (52')
Bell (15'), Malli (24'), De Blasis (64')
Latza (21'), Karius (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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