Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Nov 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor

SV Darmstadt 98
0 - 0
Mainz

Klarer (69'), Hornby (73'), Franjic (90+1')

van den Berg (35'), Zentner (57'), Kohr (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions

Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-2 VfL Bochum
Friday, November 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-2 Mainz 05

Having made great strides under Svensson's management in recent seasons, it had been somewhat surprising to see Mainz struggling at the bottom of the table as the only team in the Bundesliga without a victory. However, we expect them to kick on after finally ending that record against Leipzig last time out. Darmstadt, on the other hand, are missing some key players through suspension and could be low on confidence after suffering three successive defeats. While they should be competitive, we can envisage a narrow away win on Saturday, which would leave the hosts in the bottom three during the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98	Draw	Mainz 05
39.17% ( -0.14)	24.55% ( -0.02)	36.28% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 59.33% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.39% (

0.1)

43.61% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34% (

0.1)

66% (

-0.1)

SV Darmstadt 98 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.78% (

-0.03)

22.22% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.36% (

-0.04)

55.64% (

0.04)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28% (

0.13)

23.72% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.15% (

0.19)

57.85% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

SV Darmstadt 98 39.17%

Mainz 05 36.28%

Draw 24.55%

SV Darmstadt 98	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.17%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.55%	1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 36.28%