Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-2 Mainz 05
Having made great strides under Svensson's management in recent seasons, it had been somewhat surprising to see Mainz struggling at the bottom of the table as the only team in the Bundesliga without a victory. However, we expect them to kick on after finally ending that record against Leipzig last time out.
Darmstadt, on the other hand, are missing some key players through suspension and could be low on confidence after suffering three successive defeats. While they should be competitive, we can envisage a narrow away win on Saturday, which would leave the hosts in the bottom three during the international break.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 39.17% . A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (5.96%) . The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood .
Result SV Darmstadt 98 Draw Mainz 05 39.17% ( -0.14) 24.55% ( -0.02) 36.28% ( 0.16)
Both teams to score 59.33% ( 0.08)
56.39% ( 0.1) 43.61% ( -0.1)
34% ( 0.1) 66% ( -0.1)
77.78% ( -0.03) 22.22% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.36% ( -0.04) 55.64% ( 0.04)
76.28% ( 0.13) 23.72% ( -0.13)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.15% ( 0.19) 57.85% ( -0.19)
SV Darmstadt 98 39.17%
Mainz 05 36.28%
Draw 24.55%
SV Darmstadt 98 Draw Mainz 05 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.17% 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.55% 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 36.28%
How you voted: SV Darmstadt 98 vs Mainz
SV Darmstadt 98
Draw
Mainz 05
34
rhs 2.0
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