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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
SV Darmstadt

Augsburg
1 - 2
SV Darmstadt 98

Demirovic (86')
Gumny (35'), Michel (66'), Demirovic (74'), Uduokhai (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Skarke (52'), Kempe (70' pen.)
Muller (38'), Pfeiffer (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and SV Darmstadt 98, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 Augsburg
Sunday, October 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 2-1 SV Darmstadt 98

These sides are both likely to be involved in relegation battles for the entirety of the campaign, making this meeting a crucial six-pointer, with Darmstadt coming into it at the right time after securing their first win of the season last weekend. However, Augsburg clearly possess far more experience at this level and they showed plenty of grit to hold onto victory against Mainz despite falling down to 10-men in their last home game, so we will back them to earn another crucial win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawSV Darmstadt 98
41.25% (-0.207 -0.21) 24.42% (-0.058 -0.06) 34.32% (0.259 0.26)
Both teams to score 59.45% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.7% (0.329 0.33)43.3% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.3% (0.32400000000001 0.32)65.69% (-0.32900000000001 -0.33)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.040999999999997 0.04)21.08% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09% (0.07 0.07)53.9% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.303 0.3)24.66% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (0.425 0.42)59.18% (-0.429 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 41.25%
    SV Darmstadt 98 34.32%
    Draw 24.42%
AugsburgDrawSV Darmstadt 98
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 41.25%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.2% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.32%

How you voted: Augsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98

Augsburg
76.0%
Draw
16.0%
SV Darmstadt 98
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2017 2.30pm
Sep 24, 2016 2.30pm
Mar 12, 2016 2.30pm
SV Darmstadt 98
2-2
Augsburg
Vrancic (13'), Wagner (40')
Heller (91'), Holland (94')
Feulner (63'), Finnbogason (89' pen.)
Max (91')
Oct 17, 2015 2.30pm
Augsburg
0-2
SV Darmstadt 98

Baier (61'), Caiuby (67')
Wagner (7'), Niemeyer (29')
Heller (47'), Garics (66'), Caldirola (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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