Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 6

Oct 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor

SV Darmstadt 98
4 - 2
Werder Bremen

Bader (4'), Skarke (25'), Mehlem (50'), Kempe (62' pen.)
Mehlem (40'), Holland (52'), Franjic (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Deman (70'), Veljkovic (78')
Lynen (31'), Deman (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Friday, September 22 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-3 Werder Bremen

Despite selling Fullkrug towards the end of the transfer window, Werder Bremen still retain plenty of quality in attacking areas, and we expect them to have a little too much for Darmstadt as a result. The hosts have conceded 16 goals in five matches and simply do not look capable of keeping clean sheets at this level, so it could be a long and difficult season for them, even if they should show plenty of fight and score a reasonable amount of goals along the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SV Darmstadt 98 would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98	Draw	Werder Bremen
51.18% ( -0.94)	23.39% ( 0.05)	25.43% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 57.49% (

0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.56% (

0.56)

43.43% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.17% (

0.55)

65.83% (

-0.56)

SV Darmstadt 98 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.96% (

-0.14)

17.04% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.81% (

-0.24)

47.19% (

0.24)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3% (

1.02)

30.7% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04% (

1.19)

66.96% (

-1.19)

Score Analysis

SV Darmstadt 98 51.18%

Werder Bremen 25.43%

Draw 23.39%

SV Darmstadt 98	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.99% Total : 51.18%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.39%	1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.93% Total : 25.43%