Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-3 Werder Bremen
Despite selling Fullkrug towards the end of the transfer window, Werder Bremen still retain plenty of quality in attacking areas, and we expect them to have a little too much for Darmstadt as a result.
The hosts have conceded 16 goals in five matches and simply do not look capable of keeping clean sheets at this level, so it could be a long and difficult season for them, even if they should show plenty of fight and score a reasonable amount of goals along the way.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 51.18% . A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.19%) . The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%) . The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that SV Darmstadt 98 would win this match.
Result SV Darmstadt 98 Draw Werder Bremen 51.18% ( -0.94) 23.39% ( 0.05) 25.43% ( 0.88)
Both teams to score 57.49% ( 0.75)
56.56% ( 0.56) 43.43% ( -0.57)
34.17% ( 0.55) 65.83% ( -0.56)
82.96% ( -0.14) 17.04% ( 0.13)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 52.81% ( -0.24) 47.19% ( 0.24)
69.3% ( 1.02) 30.7% ( -1.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.04% ( 1.19) 66.96% ( -1.19)
SV Darmstadt 98 51.18%
Werder Bremen 25.43%
Draw 23.39%
SV Darmstadt 98 Draw Werder Bremen 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.99% Total : 51.18% 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.39% 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.93% Total : 25.43%
How you voted: SV Darmstadt 98 vs Werder Bremen
SV Darmstadt 98
Draw
Werder Bremen
42
rhs 2.0
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