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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Koln logo

Werder Bremen
2 - 1
FC Koln

Borre (38'), Njinmah (67')
Weiser (79'), Veljkovic (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Selke (31')
Alidou (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

FC Koln

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln

 Baumgart has been loath to label Koln's current predicament a "crisis", and with good reason too, as the Billy Goats have only been bested by Borussia Dortmund in their last six away games and can restore a small slice of pride against a leaky Werder Bremen crop. The hosts are very rarely kept at arm's length in front of their own fans, though, and we can see another low-scoring draw being played out between the two sides, as was the case four months ago. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFC Koln
24.26% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 22.44% (0.0010000000000012 0) 53.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.47% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)40.23% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)62.6% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)29.92% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)66.02% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)15.14% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.28% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)43.72% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 24.26%
    FC Koln 53.29%
    Draw 22.43%
Werder BremenDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 5.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 24.26%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.07% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.13%
0-3 @ 5.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 2.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 53.29%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs FC Koln

Werder Bremen
46.3%
Draw
41.5%
FC Koln
12.2%
41
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Werder Bremen
1-1
FC Koln
Schmid (73')
Weiser (27'), Bittencourt (33'), Stage (79'), Buchanan (82')
Tigges (36')
Ljubicic (12'), Hector (89')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
FC Koln
7-1
Werder Bremen
Maina (9'), Tigges (15', 21'), Skhiri (30', 54'), Huseinbasic (36'), Friedl (76' og.)
Fullkrug (38')
> Preview
Mar 7, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
FC Koln
1-1
Werder Bremen
Hector (83')
Jakobs (21'), Drexler (80')
Sargent (66')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Werder Bremen
1-1
FC Koln
Bittencourt (82' pen.)
Mbom (31'), Osako (67')
Moisander (67' og.)
Wolf (23'), Czichos (65')
> Preview
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Werder Bremen
6-1
FC Koln
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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