MX23RW : Saturday, June 15 10:39:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Koln logo

Dortmund
1 - 0
FC Koln

Malen (88')
Malen (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osnabruck 1-3 FC Koln
Monday, August 14 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 FC Koln

Given that Borussia Dortmund suffered a solitary defeat in 19 home league games last season - scoring 55 goals while conceding just 17 - we expect BVB to kick-start their Bundesliga campaign with a comfortable victory over FC Koln. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.65%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 1-0 (6.81%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawFC Koln
54.65% (-0.168 -0.17) 21.06% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 24.28% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 64.55% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.43% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)33.57% (0.299 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.62% (-0.345 -0.34)55.38% (0.341 0.34)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.55% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)12.44% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.63% (-0.309 -0.31)38.37% (0.307 0.31)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)26.27% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (-0.137 -0.14)61.38% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 54.65%
    FC Koln 24.28%
    Draw 21.06%
Borussia DortmundDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.81% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.41% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.43% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 54.65%
1-1 @ 9.11% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.06%
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.37% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.92% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 24.28%

How you voted: Dortmund vs FC Koln

Borussia Dortmund
90.5%
Draw
7.9%
FC Koln
1.6%
63
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Dortmund
6-1
FC Koln
Guerreiro (15'), Haller (17', 69'), Reus (32', 70'), Malen (36')
Selke (42')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
FC Koln
3-2
Dortmund
Kainz (53'), Tigges (56'), Ljubicic (71')
Brandt (31'), Schmitz (78' og.)
Mar 20, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 27
FC Koln
1-1
Dortmund
Andersson (36')
Ozcan (67'), Duda (76')
Wolf (8')
Wolf (30'), Witsel (43'), Can (47')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Dortmund
2-0
FC Koln
Hazard (40'), Tigges (64')
Meunier (51'), Bellingham (88')

Schmitz (11'), Hubers (56'), Ozcan (82')
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
FC Koln
2-2
Dortmund
Duda (35' pen.), Jakobs (65')
Jakobs (90+2')
Braut Haaland (3', 90')
Bellingham (34')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
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Friday, June 21
 
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Switzerland Switzerland00000
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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