Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
VfL Bochum1 - 1Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-5 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: VfL Bochum 1-3 Borussia Dortmund
Bochum's previously strong home record under Letsch has almost entirely evaporated across their recent run of games on home soil, and there is a sense of destiny surrounding Dortmund's title charge. While this looks set to be one of BVB's most difficult remaining fixtures considering that their opponents are fighting against relegation, we expect Terzic's side to get themselves over the line and make the first step towards ending Bayern's 11-year dominance in the Bundesliga. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.69%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
22.13% ( -0.07) | 19.18% ( -0.04) | 58.69% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 68.93% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
