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Bundesliga
VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
 
Dortmund logo

VfL Bochum
1 - 1
Dortmund

Losilla (5')
Soares (30')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Adeyemi (7')
Adeyemi (43'), Haller (43'), Terzic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-5 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

 Bochum's previously strong home record under Letsch has almost entirely evaporated across their recent run of games on home soil, and there is a sense of destiny surrounding Dortmund's title charge. While this looks set to be one of BVB's most difficult remaining fixtures considering that their opponents are fighting against relegation, we expect Terzic's side to get themselves over the line and make the first step towards ending Bayern's 11-year dominance in the Bundesliga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.69%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawBorussia Dortmund
22.13% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 19.18% (-0.035 -0.04) 58.69% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Both teams to score 68.93% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.19% (0.082999999999998 0.08)26.8% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.76% (0.10599999999999 0.11)47.24% (-0.11 -0.11)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)58.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.74% (0.049999999999997 0.05)9.26% (-0.052099999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.71% (0.11799999999999 0.12)31.29% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 22.13%
    Borussia Dortmund 58.69%
    Draw 19.18%
VfL BochumDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 22.13%
1-1 @ 7.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.41% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 2.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 19.18%
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 5.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 5% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.24% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 3.02% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.97% (0.012 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.02% (0.013 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.44% (0.008 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 58.69%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Dortmund

VfL Bochum
6.5%
Draw
8.4%
Borussia Dortmund
85.1%
154
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
VfL Bochum
1-2
Dortmund
Stoger (64' pen.)
Janko (39'), Stoger (44'), Antwi-Adjej (75'), Riemann (90+7')
Can (45+1'), Reus (70')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 13
Dortmund
3-0
VfL Bochum
Moukoko (8', 45+2'), Reyna (12' pen.)

Gamboa (54')
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 32
Dortmund
3-4
VfL Bochum
Braut Haaland (18' pen., 30' pen., 62')
Bellingham (24'), Brandt (54'), Rothe (89'), Papadopoulos (90+3')
Polter (3'), Holtmann (8'), Locadia (81'), Pantovic (85' pen.)
Losilla (31'), Masovic (35'), Zoller (90+2')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 15
VfL Bochum
1-1
Dortmund
Polter (40' pen.)
Brandt (85')
Schulz (57'), Hummels (58'), Zagadou (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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