Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Apr 9, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

VfL Bochum
2 - 3
Stuttgart

Stoger (58' pen.), Hofmann (85')
Antwi-Adjej (36'), Losilla (90+5'), Riemann (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ito (14'), Guirassy (60'), Vagnomann (63')
Guirassy (37'), Mavropanos (90+5'), Bredlow (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 VfL Bochum
Friday, March 31 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Nuremberg 0-1 Stuttgart
Wednesday, April 5 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 Stuttgart

Prior to Labbadia's sacking, this match could have ended up being a routine victory for Bochum, but we expect Stuttgart's change in management to provide them with a timely boost as they look to move off the bottom of the table. However, with the amount at stake in this match, we can easily envisage a share of the spoils between two evenly-matched teams desperately fighting to avoid relegation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Stuttgart
31.02% ( -0.66)	24.25% ( -0.14)	44.73% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 58.79% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.37% (

0.37)

43.62% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.98% (

0.36)

66.01% (

-0.36)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17% (

-0.24)

26.82% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88% (

-0.31)

62.11% (

0.31)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

0.5)

19.66% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.35% (

0.8)

51.64% (

-0.81)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 31.02%

Stuttgart 44.73%

Draw 24.24%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.02%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.08% Total : 44.73%