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VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Leipzig logo

VfL Bochum
1 - 0
RB Leipzig

Masovic (48')
Masovic (13'), Soares (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Laimer (11'), Olmo (75'), Kampl (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 7-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: VfL Bochum 0-2 RB Leipzig

Bochum seem to have lost their air of invincibility on home territory in recent weeks with two successive 2-0 defeats at Vonovia-Ruhrstadion, and we can envisage a repeat scoreline on Saturday. Leipzig will be determined to bounce back from their thrashing in Europe in midweek to ensure that their top four hopes remain in their own hands heading into the final stretch of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 0-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawRB Leipzig
19.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 20.08% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 60.81% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.23% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.23% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)35.77% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.16% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)57.85% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)32% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)68.46% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)11.43% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)36.22% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 19.11%
    RB Leipzig 60.81%
    Draw 20.08%
VfL BochumDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 4.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.96%
3-0 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 19.11%
1-1 @ 9.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.08%
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.6% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 6.22%
2-3 @ 4.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-4 @ 3.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 2.19% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 60.81%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs RB Leipzig

VfL Bochum
12.7%
Draw
8.9%
RB Leipzig
78.5%
79
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
VfL Bochum
Werner (15', 53'), Nkunku (23' pen., 85')

Soares (19')
Feb 27, 2022 2.30pm
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
Feb 3, 2021 5.30pm
Third Round
RB Leipzig
4-0
VfL Bochum
Haidara (11'), Sabitzer (45+1' pen.), Poulsen (66', 75')
Angelino (60'), Hee-chan (88')

Masovic (24'), Drewes (45+1'), Soares (63'), Raman Chibsah (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Stuttgart93421716113
11Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
12Augsburg103341320-712
13Heidenheim93151212010
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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