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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Frankfurt

Werner (6'), Forsberg (40')
Orban (33'), Laimer (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sow (61')
Rode (57'), Sow (76'), Hasebe (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Man City
Wednesday, February 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-2 Napoli
Tuesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Although both teams may start without their most potent attackers due to fitness concerns, we expect to see an entertaining contest between two of Germany's Champions League representatives on Saturday. While Frankfurt continue to punch above their weight under Glasner, there is little doubt that they are a more effective force on home turf, and we can envisage a narrow Leipzig win as they continue their surge under Rose's tutelage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.35%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawEintracht Frankfurt
54.35% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 22.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.03% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 57.32% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.62% (0.118 0.12)42.37% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22% (0.115 0.12)64.78% (-0.113 -0.11)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46% (0.012 0.01)15.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53% (0.023999999999994 0.02)44.46% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.87% (0.14 0.14)32.13% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.39% (0.158 0.16)68.6% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 54.35%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 23.03%
    Draw 22.62%
RB LeipzigDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.1%
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 54.35%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.22% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 23.03%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Frankfurt

RB Leipzig
77.2%
Draw
12.7%
Eintracht Frankfurt
10.1%
79
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Frankfurt
4-0
RB Leipzig
Kamada (16'), Rode (22'), Tuta (67'), Borre (84' pen.)
Sow (33')

Henrichs (60')
Mar 20, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
0-0
Frankfurt

Laimer (19')

N'Dicka (35'), Hinteregger (50'), Hrustic (56'), Petter Hauge (90+1'), Jakic (90+3')
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
Mar 14, 2021 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-1
Frankfurt
Forsberg (46')
Kluivert (44'), Nagelsmann (90+1'), Mukiele (90+3')
Kamada (61')
Younes (15'), N'Dicka (49'), Tuta (69')
Nov 21, 2020 5.30pm
Frankfurt
1-1
RB Leipzig
Barkok (43')
Durm (49'), Sow (60'), Abraham (83')
Poulsen (57')
Nkunku (9'), Olmo (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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