Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Frankfurt

Werner (6'), Forsberg (40')
Orban (33'), Laimer (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sow (61')
Rode (57'), Sow (76'), Hasebe (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Man City
Wednesday, February 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 0-2 Napoli
Tuesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Although both teams may start without their most potent attackers due to fitness concerns, we expect to see an entertaining contest between two of Germany's Champions League representatives on Saturday. While Frankfurt continue to punch above their weight under Glasner, there is little doubt that they are a more effective force on home turf, and we can envisage a narrow Leipzig win as they continue their surge under Rose's tutelage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.35%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
54.35% ( -0.08)	22.62% ( -0.01)	23.03% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 57.32% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.62% (

0.12)

42.37% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.22% (

0.12)

64.78% (

-0.11)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.46% (

0.01)

15.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.53% (

0.02)

44.46% (

-0.02)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.87% (

0.14)

32.13% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.39% (

0.16)

68.6% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 54.35%

Eintracht Frankfurt 23.03%

Draw 22.62%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.1% 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 54.35%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.62%	1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 23.03%