Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
We said: RB Leipzig 2-3 Bayern Munich
On the return of German football, this has the potential to be one of the games of the season, but both sides have injury worries concerning some very important players.
Bayern often have the edge over Leipzig having only lost to them once since the Red Bull-owned club were promoted in 2016, and a win here would be huge for their title credentials.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.93% . A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.11% .
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-3 (7.43%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%) , while for a RB Leipzig win it was 2-1 (4.87%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood .
Result RB Leipzig Draw Bayern Munich 18.11% ( -0.51) 18.96% ( 0.65) 62.93% ( -0.15)
Both teams to score 62.52% ( -3.7)
68.02% ( -4.21) 31.97% ( 4.2)
46.46% ( -5.08) 53.53% ( 5.08)
69.29% ( -3.13) 30.7% ( 3.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.04% ( -3.85) 66.96% ( 3.85)
90.22% ( -1.22) 9.77% ( 1.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 67.49% ( -2.91) 32.5% ( 2.9)
RB Leipzig 18.11%
Bayern Munich 62.93%
Draw 18.96%
RB Leipzig Draw Bayern Munich 2-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.47% Total : 18.11% 1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 3% ( 0.64) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.96% 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.98) 1-3 @ 7.43% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 1.18) 0-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.44) 2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.46) 1-4 @ 4.32% ( -0.31) 0-4 @ 3.66% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.43) 1-5 @ 2.01% ( -0.27) 0-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) 2-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.28) 3-4 @ 1% ( -0.28) Other @ 3.74% Total : 62.93%
How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Bayern
RB Leipzig
Draw
Bayern Munich
277
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-21 20:14:01
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