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Bundesliga
Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Bayern logo

Schalke
0 - 2
Bayern

FT(HT: 0-1)
Gnabry (38'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Schalke 04

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 1-0 Mainz
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 6-1 Werder Bremen
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Schalke 04 0-3 Bayern Munich

 We expect a comfortable victory for Bayern, who may take their foot off the gas later in the game given the amount of players that they are set to have involved at the World Cup. Schalke secured all three points in what felt like a must-win game for them against Mainz in midweek, but they are likely to fall significantly short on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.55%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 7.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-3 with a probability of 7.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.36%) and 1-2 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.98%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawBayern Munich
7.7% (0.944 0.94) 10.75% (1.287 1.29) 81.55% (-2.229 -2.23)
Both teams to score 64% (-2.094 -2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
83.11% (-3.435 -3.44)16.88% (3.437 3.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.48% (-5.393 -5.39)33.51% (5.396 5.4)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.07% (-1.599 -1.6)33.92% (1.603 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4% (-1.768 -1.77)70.6% (1.77 1.77)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.86% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)3.14% (0.804 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86% (-2.899 -2.9)14% (2.9 2.9)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 7.7%
    Bayern Munich 81.55%
    Draw 10.75%
Schalke 04DrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.15% (0.346 0.35)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.065 0.07)
1-0 @ 1.15% (0.299 0.3)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 7.7%
1-1 @ 3.98% (0.783 0.78)
2-2 @ 3.73% (0.33 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 1.06% (0.31 0.31)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 10.75%
1-3 @ 7.96% (0.422 0.42)
0-3 @ 7.36% (0.688 0.69)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.881 0.88)
1-4 @ 6.89% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-2 @ 6.38% (1.053 1.05)
0-4 @ 6.37% (0.102 0.1)
1-5 @ 4.77% (-0.553 -0.55)
0-5 @ 4.41% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-3 @ 4.3% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 3.72% (-0.275 -0.28)
0-1 @ 3.68% (0.851 0.85)
1-6 @ 2.75% (-0.581 -0.58)
2-5 @ 2.58% (-0.427 -0.43)
0-6 @ 2.54% (-0.406 -0.41)
2-6 @ 1.49% (-0.395 -0.4)
1-7 @ 1.36% (-0.429 -0.43)
3-4 @ 1.34% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-7 @ 1.26% (-0.326 -0.33)
3-5 @ 0.93% (-0.202 -0.2)
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 81.55%

How you voted: Schalke vs Bayern

Schalke 04
11.8%
Draw
2.9%
Bayern Munich
85.3%
68
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2021 2.30pm
Schalke
0-4
Bayern

Nastasic (80')
Muller (33', 88'), Lewandowski (54'), Alaba (90')
Boateng (84')
Sep 18, 2020 7.30pm
Bayern
8-0
Schalke
Gnabry (4', 47', 59'), Goretzka (19'), Lewandowski (31' pen.), Muller (70'), Sane (71'), Musiala (81')
Kimmich (65')

Kabak (30'), Stambouli (81')
Mar 3, 2020 7.45pm
Schalke
0-1
Bayern

Burgstaller (66'), Nastasic (66'), McKennie (86'), Raman (90')
Kimmich (40')
Jan 25, 2020 5.30pm
Bayern
5-0
Schalke
Lewandowski (6'), Muller (45'), Goretzka (50'), Alcantara (58'), Gnabry (89')
Aug 24, 2019 5.30pm
Schalke
0-3
Bayern
Lewandowski (20' pen., 50', 75')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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