Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Veltins-Arena

Schalke
0 - 2
Bayern

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gnabry (38'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Schalke 04

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Schalke 1-0 Mainz
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 6-1 Werder Bremen
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Schalke 04 0-3 Bayern Munich

We expect a comfortable victory for Bayern, who may take their foot off the gas later in the game given the amount of players that they are set to have involved at the World Cup. Schalke secured all three points in what felt like a must-win game for them against Mainz in midweek, but they are likely to fall significantly short on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.55%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 7.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-3 with a probability of 7.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.36%) and 1-2 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.98%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04	Draw	Bayern Munich
7.7% ( 0.94)	10.75% ( 1.29)	81.55% ( -2.23)

Both teams to score 64% (

-2.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

83.11% (

-3.44)

16.88% (

3.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

66.48% (

-5.39)

33.51% (

5.4)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.07% (

-1.6)

33.92% (

1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.4% (

-1.77)

70.6% (

1.77)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.86% (

-0.8)

3.14% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86% (

-2.9)

14% (

2.9)

Score Analysis

Schalke 04 7.7%

Bayern Munich 81.55%

Draw 10.75%

Schalke 04	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.3) Other @ 3.06% Total : 7.7%	1-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.78) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.42% Total : 10.75%	1-3 @ 7.96% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 7.36% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.88) 1-4 @ 6.89% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 1.05) 0-4 @ 6.37% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 4.77% ( -0.55) 0-5 @ 4.41% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 3.72% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.85) 1-6 @ 2.75% ( -0.58) 2-5 @ 2.58% ( -0.43) 0-6 @ 2.54% ( -0.41) 2-6 @ 1.49% ( -0.4) 1-7 @ 1.36% ( -0.43) 3-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.16) 0-7 @ 1.26% ( -0.33) 3-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.2) Other @ 4.58% Total : 81.55%