MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:53:52| >> :600:388188:388188:
Bayern logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 1, 2022 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Inter logo

Bayern
2 - 0
Inter Milan

Pavard (32'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (72')
Sabitzer (38'), Kimmich (48'), Stanisic (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gosens (40'), Carboni (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 6-2 Mainz
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 Inter Milan

Inter will bring a four-game winning run into this match, and the Italian outfit deserve a lot of credit for their performances in Europe this season. Bayern are so difficult to back against, though, and we are expecting the German champions to put another win on the board to make it a 100% record in the group stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawInter Milan
45.7% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 26.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 27.89% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.96% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.71% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)54.29% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)75.68% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)23.7% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)57.82% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)34.52% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)71.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 45.7%
    Inter Milan 27.9%
    Draw 26.4%
Bayern MunichDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.48% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.7%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 27.9%

How you voted: Bayern vs Inter Milan

Bayern Munich
74.7%
Draw
11.6%
Inter Milan
13.7%
344
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2022 8pm
Group C
Inter Milan
0-2
Bayern
Sane (25'), D'Ambrosio (66' og.)
de Ligt (41')
Jul 27, 2017 12.35pm
Jul 30, 2016 10pm
Inter Milan
1-4
Bayern
Icardi (90')
Green (7', 30', 35'), Ribery (13')
Ribery (26')
rhs 2.0
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