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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Sampdoria logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Sampdoria

de Vrij (21'), Barella (44'), Correa (73')
Bastoni (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Yepes (19'), Colley (40'), Duricic (52'), Verre (57'), Gabbiadini (61'), Amione (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Plzen
Wednesday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Sampdoria

Inter are drawless in their last 20 league games - their longest such run since the 1940s - while Samp have scored the fewest Serie A goals this season. Not surprisingly, then, a home win appears to be on the cards, with Lukaku's return occurring just in time to match a Martinez hot-streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 77.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.77%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
77.79% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 14.35% (0.012 0.01) 7.87% (0.014 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.44% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.53% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)36.47% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)58.61% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)7.61% (0.008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.78% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)27.22% (0.02 0.02)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.27% (0.022000000000006 0.02)49.73% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.53% (0.016999999999999 0.02)84.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 77.77%
    Sampdoria 7.87%
    Draw 14.35%
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.55%
3-0 @ 10.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.75% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.53%
4-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 3.57% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.53% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 77.77%
1-1 @ 6.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-2 @ 3.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 14.35%
0-1 @ 2.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 7.87%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Sampdoria

Inter Milan
94.7%
Draw
2.6%
Sampdoria
2.6%
114
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 5pm
Inter Milan
3-0
Sampdoria
Perisic (49'), Correa (55', 57')
Barella (30')

Yoshida (5'), Ferrari (66')
Sep 12, 2021 11.30am
Sampdoria
2-2
Inter Milan
Yoshida (32'), Augello (47')
Thorsby (35'), Bereszynski (67'), Colley (82'), Silva (88')
Dimarco (18'), Martinez (44')
Brozovic (22'), Dzeko (89'), Correa (90'), Vidal (90+3')
May 8, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
5-1
Sampdoria
Gagliardini (4'), Sanchez (26', 36'), Pinamonti (61'), Martinez (70' pen.)
Balde (35')
Tonelli (31'), Silva (68')
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Sampdoria
2-1
Inter Milan
Candreva (23' pen.), Balde (38')
Thorsby (57'), Balde (84'), Askildsen (85')
De Vrij (65')
Martinez (16'), Barella (23'), de Vrij (40'), Hakimi (90+1')
Jun 21, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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