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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Monza

Sampdoria
0 - 3
Monza


Murillo (18'), Bereszynski (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pessina (11'), Caprari (67'), Sensi (90+4')
Pessina (45+1'), Mota (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, September 17 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Sampdoria 1-1 Monza

Given both sides' failings in the final third, goals may not flow freely, but the chance to take three points off likely relegation rivals may bring them out of their shells. With the feelgood factor still in play, Monza can extend their unbeaten run to a third game; leaving Samp still seeking their first win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawMonza
32.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 40.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.28% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (0.004999999999999 0)76.5% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)31.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.12% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.88% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01%26.99% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 32.74%
    Monza 40.12%
    Draw 27.13%
SampdoriaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 11.13%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-2 @ 7.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.12%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Monza

Sampdoria
46.6%
Draw
41.1%
Monza
12.3%
73
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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