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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Monza

Sampdoria
0 - 3
Monza


Murillo (18'), Bereszynski (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pessina (11'), Caprari (67'), Sensi (90+4')
Pessina (45+1'), Mota (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, September 17 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Sampdoria 1-1 Monza

Given both sides' failings in the final third, goals may not flow freely, but the chance to take three points off likely relegation rivals may bring them out of their shells. With the feelgood factor still in play, Monza can extend their unbeaten run to a third game; leaving Samp still seeking their first win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawMonza
32.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 40.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.28% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (0.004999999999999 0)76.5% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)31.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.12% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.88% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01%26.99% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 32.74%
    Monza 40.12%
    Draw 27.13%
SampdoriaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 11.13%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-2 @ 7.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.12%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Monza

Sampdoria
46.6%
Draw
41.1%
Monza
12.3%
73
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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