Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 2, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
0 - 3
Monza

Murillo (18'), Bereszynski (22')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pessina (11'), Caprari (67'), Sensi (90+4')
Pessina (45+1'), Mota (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions

Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, September 17 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Given both sides' failings in the final third, goals may not flow freely, but the chance to take three points off likely relegation rivals may bring them out of their shells. With the feelgood factor still in play, Monza can extend their unbeaten run to a third game; leaving Samp still seeking their first win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Monza
32.74% ( 0.01)	27.13% ( -0)	40.13% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.01% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.72% (

0.01)

55.28% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.5% (

76.5% (

-0.01)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.51% (

0.01)

31.49% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.12% (

0.01)

67.88% (

-0.01)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01%

26.99% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

-0)

62.34% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 32.74%

Monza 40.12%

Draw 27.13%

Sampdoria	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.74%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.68% 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.12%