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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 8.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.59%) and 1-2 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.56%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
8.63% ( -0.07) | 11.8% ( 0.03) | 79.57% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 63.25% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
80.79% ( -0.45) | 19.21% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
63.04% ( -0.66) | 36.96% ( 0.66) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.75% ( -0.56) | 34.25% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.05% ( -0.61) | 70.95% ( 0.61) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.2% ( -0.08) | 3.8% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.78% ( -0.26) | 16.22% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.37% Total : 8.63% | 1-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 11.8% | 1-3 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 7.59% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 6.2% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.13) 0-5 @ 4.06% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) 1-6 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 0-6 @ 2.21% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 2-6 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 1-7 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 0-7 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.42% Total : 79.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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