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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Bayern logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 3
Bayern

Lukebakio (40'), Selke (45' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-3)
Musiala (12'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (37', 38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Friday, October 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Hertha Berlin 0-3 Bayern Munich

 We expect Bayern to cruise to victory in Berlin on Saturday, with their winning streak potentially continuing right through to breaking for the World Cup later this month. Hertha have struggled to score goals this season and those woes look set to hurt them at the weekend, with their improving defensive record unlikely to do them too much good against such a potent opposition attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 8.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.59%) and 1-2 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.56%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawBayern Munich
8.63% (-0.074900000000001 -0.07) 11.8% (0.029 0.03) 79.57% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 63.25% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.79% (-0.452 -0.45)19.21% (0.453 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.04% (-0.659 -0.66)36.96% (0.66 0.66)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (-0.565 -0.56)34.25% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (-0.609 -0.61)70.95% (0.61099999999999 0.61)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.2% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)3.8% (0.076 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.78% (-0.256 -0.26)16.22% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 8.63%
    Bayern Munich 79.57%
    Draw 11.8%
Hertha BerlinDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-0 @ 1.39% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 8.63%
1-1 @ 4.56% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 1.3% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 11.8%
1-3 @ 8.13% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.59% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.17 0.17)
1-4 @ 6.65% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 6.2% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
2-3 @ 4.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-5 @ 4.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.131 0.13)
0-5 @ 4.06% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 3.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-6 @ 2.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-5 @ 2.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-6 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 1.27% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-6 @ 1.27% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-7 @ 1.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-7 @ 1.03% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 79.57%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Bayern

Hertha Berlin
9.2%
Draw
3.7%
Bayern Munich
87.2%
109
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 4.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Bayern
Ekkelenkamp (80')
Serdar (70')
Tolisso (25'), Muller (45'), Sane (75'), Gnabry (79')
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Bayern
5-0
Hertha Berlin
Muller (6'), Lewandowski (35', 70', 84'), Musiala (49')
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Hertha Berlin
0-1
Bayern

Darida (41'), Khedira (90+2')
Coman (21')
Pavard (31')
Oct 4, 2020 5pm
Bayern
4-3
Hertha Berlin
Lewandowski (40', 51', 85', 90+3' pen.)
Hernandez (58'), Gnabry (85'), Lewandowski (90+4')
Cordoba (59'), Cunha (71'), Ngankam (88')
Cordoba (13'), Piatek (84'), Mittelstadt (90+2')
Jan 19, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-4
Bayern

Darida (7'), Jarstein (64'), Boyata (81')
Muller (60'), Lewandowski (73' pen.), Alcantara (76'), Perisic (84')
Pavard (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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