MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 10:51:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Bayern logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 3
Bayern

Lukebakio (40'), Selke (45' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-3)
Musiala (12'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (37', 38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Friday, October 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Hertha Berlin 0-3 Bayern Munich

We expect Bayern to cruise to victory in Berlin on Saturday, with their winning streak potentially continuing right through to breaking for the World Cup later this month. Hertha have struggled to score goals this season and those woes look set to hurt them at the weekend, with their improving defensive record unlikely to do them too much good against such a potent opposition attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 8.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.59%) and 1-2 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.56%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawBayern Munich
8.63% (-0.074900000000001 -0.07) 11.8% (0.029 0.03) 79.57% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 63.25% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.79% (-0.452 -0.45)19.21% (0.453 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.04% (-0.659 -0.66)36.96% (0.66 0.66)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (-0.565 -0.56)34.25% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (-0.609 -0.61)70.95% (0.61099999999999 0.61)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.2% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)3.8% (0.076 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.78% (-0.256 -0.26)16.22% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 8.63%
    Bayern Munich 79.57%
    Draw 11.8%
Hertha BerlinDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-0 @ 1.39% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 8.63%
1-1 @ 4.56% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 1.3% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 11.8%
1-3 @ 8.13% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.59% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.17 0.17)
1-4 @ 6.65% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 6.2% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
2-3 @ 4.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-5 @ 4.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.131 0.13)
0-5 @ 4.06% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 3.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-6 @ 2.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-5 @ 2.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-6 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 1.27% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-6 @ 1.27% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-7 @ 1.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-7 @ 1.03% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 79.57%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Bayern

Hertha Berlin
9.2%
Draw
3.7%
Bayern Munich
87.2%
109
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 4.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Bayern
Ekkelenkamp (80')
Serdar (70')
Tolisso (25'), Muller (45'), Sane (75'), Gnabry (79')
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Oct 4, 2020 5pm
Bayern
4-3
Hertha Berlin
Lewandowski (40', 51', 85', 90+3' pen.)
Hernandez (58'), Gnabry (85'), Lewandowski (90+4')
Cordoba (59'), Cunha (71'), Ngankam (88')
Cordoba (13'), Piatek (84'), Mittelstadt (90+2')
Jan 19, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-4
Bayern

Darida (7'), Jarstein (64'), Boyata (81')
Muller (60'), Lewandowski (73' pen.), Alcantara (76'), Perisic (84')
Pavard (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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