Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
3 - 0
Frankfurt

Hubers (49'), Skhiri (71', 86')
Martel (28'), Hubers (68'), Chabot (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Buta (45+2'), Gotze (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 4-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Koln 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

With Frankfurt drawing each of their last three away matches in the Bundesliga 1-1, it is hard to envisage a different scoreline in Cologne on Sunday. The hosts should be much fresher having not played in midweek, especially with Frankfurt only making two changes to their starting XI (one of which was enforced after Lindstrom's injury). A share of the spoils would not represent a bad result for either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
42.51% ( 0.69)	25.23% ( 0.03)	32.25% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 55.95% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.42% (

-0.39)

47.57% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.22% (

-0.36)

69.78% (

0.36)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.68% (

0.16)

22.32% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.21% (

0.24)

55.79% (

-0.25)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

-0.65)

27.97% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.39% (

-0.84)

63.61% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 42.51%

Eintracht Frankfurt 32.25%

Draw 25.23%

FC Koln	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.51%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.25%