Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
1 - 1
FC Koln

Kimmich (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Skhiri (4')
Huseinbasic (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Bayern
Friday, January 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: FC Koln 7-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 FC Koln

Facing a steadfast Bayern backline is a different kettle of fish to tackling an out-of-sorts Werder Bremen side for Koln, who will nevertheless feel confident of breaching the Bavarians' depleted defence after their magnificent exploits in front of goal at the weekend. However, Skhiri's ankle injury is not what the doctor ordered for Baumgart's side, who continue to struggle for resilience at the back and should be brought crashing back down to earth by the goal-happy champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.1%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 8.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.42%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	FC Koln
79.1% ( -0.78)	12.55% ( 0.52)	8.35% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 57.48% (

-1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.37% (

-1.97)

24.63% (

1.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.57% (

-2.64)

44.43% (

2.64)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.1% (

-0.5)

4.89% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.35% (

-1.52)

19.65% (

1.52)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.44% (

-1.13)

39.56% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.75% (

-1.06)

76.24% (

1.06)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 79.1%

FC Koln 8.35%

Draw 12.55%

Bayern Munich	Draw	FC Koln
3-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.28) 4-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.56) 5-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.19) 6-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.15) 6-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.21) 5-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.18) Other @ 6.2% Total : 79.1%	1-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 12.55%	1-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 8.35%