Glasner's Frankfurt are flying high at the moment, showing off their offensive skill with their high goal-output this season. Though their record against Mainz is abysmal, they are facing them at possibly the best time and on the highest vein of form since their Europa League victory last May.
Mainz will look to take on Frankfurt in a confrontational, direct manner, making use of their bullish midfield and, particularly, try to bring their attacking talismans Karim Onisiwo and Lee Jae-sung into the game down the channels.
However, such an aggressive and risky style will play right into the hands of Glasner's tactically-astute side, with Kamada, Muani and Jesper Lindstrom adept at exploiting any gaps left behind on the turnover.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
-0.56) 
0.55) 
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