MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:36:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Mainz
1 - 1
Frankfurt

Burkardt (40')
Bell (45'), Caricol (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kolo (67')
Tuta (38'), Kolo (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 1-0 Mainz
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt

Glasner's Frankfurt are flying high at the moment, showing off their offensive skill with their high goal-output this season. Though their record against Mainz is abysmal, they are facing them at possibly the best time and on the highest vein of form since their Europa League victory last May. Mainz will look to take on Frankfurt in a confrontational, direct manner, making use of their bullish midfield and, particularly, try to bring their attacking talismans Karim Onisiwo and Lee Jae-sung into the game down the channels. However, such an aggressive and risky style will play right into the hands of Glasner's tactically-astute side, with Kamada, Muani and Jesper Lindstrom adept at exploiting any gaps left behind on the turnover. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawEintracht Frankfurt
32.4% (-0.557 -0.56) 25.42% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 42.17% (0.554 0.55)
Both teams to score 55.37% (-0.185 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (-0.16 -0.16)48.36% (0.157 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (-0.146 -0.15)70.5% (0.143 0.14)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.431 -0.43)28.26% (0.429 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.549 -0.55)63.97% (0.547 0.55)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18% (0.20100000000001 0.2)22.82% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.46% (0.295 0.3)56.54% (-0.298 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 32.4%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 42.17%
    Draw 25.42%
Mainz 05DrawEintracht Frankfurt
1-0 @ 8.15% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.4%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 9.53% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.9% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.04% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.38% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.17%

How you voted: Mainz vs Frankfurt

Mainz 05
17.4%
Draw
17.4%
Eintracht Frankfurt
65.1%
109
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Mainz
2-2
Frankfurt
Ingvartsen (10', 49')
Caricol (51'), Bell (56')
Tuta (26'), Borre (35')
Dec 18, 2021 2.30pm
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz
0-2
Frankfurt

Niakhate (22'), Quaison (43')
Silva (24' pen., 72')
Hasebe (59')
Jun 6, 2020 2.30pm
Frankfurt
0-2
Mainz

Rode (62'), Chandler (64'), Hinteregger (81')
Niakhate (43'), Kunde (77')
Latza (41'), Awoniyi (47'), Barreiro (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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