MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:41:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Borussia M'bach

Werner (58'), Forsberg (71' pen.), Gvardiol (80')
Raum (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Despite missing several influential players through injury, Leipzig should be able to get themselves back on track with a victory on home territory this weekend. Gladbach have won just once on the road all season in the Bundesliga, so it would be a major surprise if they came away from the Red Bull Arena with all three points, even if they are likely to have threatening moments in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
64.96% (0.33499999999999 0.33) 18.53% (-0.105 -0.11) 16.5% (-0.227 -0.23)
Both teams to score 60.57% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.08% (0.075000000000003 0.08)32.92% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.36% (0.083999999999996 0.08)54.63% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.44% (0.10100000000001 0.1)9.56% (-0.097899999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.99% (0.233 0.23)32.01% (-0.23 -0.23)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97% (-0.209 -0.21)33.03% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38% (-0.232 -0.23)69.62% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 64.96%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 16.5%
    Draw 18.53%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.54% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.41% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.43% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4% (0.055 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 2.08% (0.025 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.034 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 64.96%
1-1 @ 8.21% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.53%
1-2 @ 4.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 16.5%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Borussia M'bach

RB Leipzig
83.6%
Draw
11.0%
Borussia Monchengladbach
5.5%
73
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 5.30pm
May 2, 2022 7.30pm
Borussia M'bach
3-1
RB Leipzig
Embolo (17'), Hofmann (45+2', 77')
Stindl (23'), Kone (88'), Neuhaus (90+1'), Hofmann (90+1')
Elvedi (64')
Nkunku (36')
Gvardiol (10'), Simakan (22')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-1
Borussia M'bach
Gvardiol (21'), Silva (33'), Nkunku (90+1'), Henrichs (90+4')
Orban (59'), Gvardiol (81'), Simakan (89')
Bensebaini (88')
Hutter (24'), Embolo (41'), Stindl (42')
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-2
Borussia M'bach
Nkunku (57'), Poulsen (66'), Sorloth (90+3')
Sabitzer (41'), Upamecano (43')
Hofmann (6' pen.), Thuram (19')
Elvedi (49'), Bensebaini (90+3')
Oct 31, 2020 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-0
RB Leipzig
Wolf (60')
Wendt (52'), Neuhaus (56'), Rose (82')

Kampl (61'), Hee-chan (69'), Sabitzer (70'), Nkunku (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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