Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach
Despite missing several influential players through injury, Leipzig should be able to get themselves back on track with a victory on home territory this weekend.
Gladbach have won just once on the road all season in the Bundesliga, so it would be a major surprise if they came away from the Red Bull Arena with all three points, even if they are likely to have threatening moments in transition.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.96% . A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 16.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.54%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%) , while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (4.55%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result RB Leipzig Draw Borussia Monchengladbach 64.96% ( 0.33) 18.53% ( -0.11) 16.5% ( -0.23)
Both teams to score 60.57% ( -0.12)
67.08% ( 0.08) 32.92% ( -0.07)
45.36% ( 0.08) 54.63% ( -0.08)
90.44% ( 0.1) 9.56% ( -0.1)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 67.99% ( 0.23) 32.01% ( -0.23)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
66.97% ( -0.21) 33.03% ( 0.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.38% ( -0.23) 69.62% ( 0.23)
RB Leipzig 64.96%
Borussia Monchengladbach 16.5%
Draw 18.53%
RB Leipzig Draw Borussia Monchengladbach 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 64.96% 1-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.53% 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 16.5%
How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Borussia M'bach
RB Leipzig
Draw
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach
5.5%
73
rhs 2.0
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