Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Borussia M'bach

Werner (58'), Forsberg (71' pen.), Gvardiol (80')
Raum (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, March 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-0 Freiburg
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Despite missing several influential players through injury, Leipzig should be able to get themselves back on track with a victory on home territory this weekend. Gladbach have won just once on the road all season in the Bundesliga, so it would be a major surprise if they came away from the Red Bull Arena with all three points, even if they are likely to have threatening moments in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
64.96% ( 0.33)	18.53% ( -0.11)	16.5% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 60.57% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.08% (

0.08)

32.92% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.36% (

0.08)

54.63% (

-0.08)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.44% (

0.1)

9.56% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.99% (

0.23)

32.01% (

-0.23)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.97% (

-0.21)

33.03% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.38% (

-0.23)

69.62% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 64.96%

Borussia Monchengladbach 16.5%

Draw 18.53%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 64.96%	1-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.53%	1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 16.5%