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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Bayern logo

Borussia M'bach
3 - 2
Bayern

Stindl (13'), Hofmann (55'), Thuram (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (35'), Tel (90+3')
Goretzka (37'), Nagelsmann (79+79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 4-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, February 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-3 Bayern Munich

 Gladbach have provided Bayern with some stern tests in recent seasons, but they are lacking form and momentum ahead of facing them at Borussia Park on Saturday. While we expect the likes of Jonas Hofmann and Thuram to cause significant problems in transition and potentially score against their former teammate Sommer, the Bavarians should have enough firepower going the other way to return to Munich with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.26%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 14.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.08%) and 1-3 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
14.22% (0.016 0.02) 16.52% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 69.26% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.27% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)27.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.59% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)48.41% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.32% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)68.83% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.71% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)7.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.63% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)26.37% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 14.22%
    Bayern Munich 69.26%
    Draw 16.52%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.93% (0.004 0)
1-0 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 14.22%
1-1 @ 6.97% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.52%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 8.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 7.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 7.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-4 @ 5.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 4.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 4.5%
2-4 @ 2.95% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-5 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 2.42% (-0.004 -0)
2-5 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-6 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 1.11%
0-6 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 69.26%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Bayern

Borussia Monchengladbach
11.5%
Draw
12.5%
Bayern Munich
76.0%
104
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Bayern
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Sane (83')
Kimmich (63'), Sabitzer (64'), Sane (80'), Nagelsmann (81'), Pavard (90+5')
Thuram (43')
Plea (37'), Kramer (90+5')
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Bayern
1-2
Borussia M'bach
Lewandowski (18')
Neuhaus (27'), Lainer (31')
Stindl (78')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Borussia M'bach
5-0
Bayern
Kone (2'), Bensebaini (15', 21' pen.), Embolo (51', 57')
Zakaria (79')

Upamecano (46')
Aug 13, 2021 7.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-1
Bayern
Plea (10')
Stindl (57'), Hutter (86'), Neuhaus (90')
Lewandowski (42')
> Preview
Jul 28, 2021 5pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bayern
0-2
Borussia M'bach
Wolf (59'), Wentzel (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern44001631312
2Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen430113949
4Freiburg43018449
5Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt43017439
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin42204228
7RB Leipzig42204228
8Stuttgart421112847
9Heidenheim42028716
10Mainz 05Mainz41218805
11Werder Bremen412148-45
12Augsburg4112710-34
13Wolfsburg410389-13
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach410358-33
15Hoffenheim4103611-53
16St Pauli401316-51
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel4013513-81
> Bundesliga Full Table


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