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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
 
Bayern logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 4
Bayern

Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Otavio (38'), Bornauw (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
Kimmich (34'), Sane (35'), Goretzka (45+2'), Tel (90+2'), Wanner (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Wolfsburg 1-3 Bayern Munich

 Bayern's collective mood is likely to have been significantly lifted by their signing of Cancelo and heavy victory against Mainz in midweek, and we expect them to return to winning ways in the Bundesliga on Sunday. However, Wolfsburg will provide a stern test having won six of their last seven league games, with Yann Sommer's wait for a first clean sheet in the Bundesliga for Bayern potentially prolonged. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
14.33% (-2.041 -2.04) 15.89% (-0.489 -0.49) 69.77% (2.525 2.53)
Both teams to score 65.89% (-3.44 -3.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.84% (-1.981 -1.98)24.15% (1.974 1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.19% (-2.668 -2.67)43.81% (2.663 2.66)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.33% (-3.636 -3.64)29.66% (3.631 3.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.28% (-4.651 -4.65)65.71% (4.647 4.65)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.67% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)6.32% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.22% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)23.77% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 14.33%
    Bayern Munich 69.77%
    Draw 15.89%
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.82% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-0 @ 2.28% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.406 -0.41)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-0 @ 1.39% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 14.33%
1-1 @ 6.29% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.391 -0.39)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.38 -0.38)
0-0 @ 1.88% (0.242 0.24)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 15.89%
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.262 0.26)
1-3 @ 8% (0.221 0.22)
0-2 @ 7.15% (0.888 0.89)
0-3 @ 6.58% (0.802 0.8)
1-4 @ 5.52% (0.138 0.14)
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.655 0.65)
2-3 @ 4.86% (-0.374 -0.37)
0-4 @ 4.54% (0.544 0.54)
2-4 @ 3.35% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-5 @ 3.05% (0.068 0.07)
0-5 @ 2.51% (0.294 0.29)
2-5 @ 1.85% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-6 @ 1.4% (0.028 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.36% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-6 @ 1.15% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 69.77%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Bayern

Wolfsburg
19.8%
Draw
8.5%
Bayern Munich
71.7%
106
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
Dec 17, 2021 7.30pm
Bayern
4-0
Wolfsburg
Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Weghorst (35'), Philipp (54')
Otavio (57'), Mbabu (86')
Musiala (15', 37'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (24')
Hernandez (79')
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Wolfsburg
Lewandowski (45+1', 50')
Gnabry (69'), Sane (84'), Coman (90')
Philipp (5')
Arnold (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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