MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 12:27:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
 
Bayern logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 4
Bayern

Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Otavio (38'), Bornauw (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
Kimmich (34'), Sane (35'), Goretzka (45+2'), Tel (90+2'), Wanner (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Wolfsburg 1-3 Bayern Munich

Bayern's collective mood is likely to have been significantly lifted by their signing of Cancelo and heavy victory against Mainz in midweek, and we expect them to return to winning ways in the Bundesliga on Sunday. However, Wolfsburg will provide a stern test having won six of their last seven league games, with Yann Sommer's wait for a first clean sheet in the Bundesliga for Bayern potentially prolonged. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
14.33% (-2.041 -2.04) 15.89% (-0.489 -0.49) 69.77% (2.525 2.53)
Both teams to score 65.89% (-3.44 -3.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.84% (-1.981 -1.98)24.15% (1.974 1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.19% (-2.668 -2.67)43.81% (2.663 2.66)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.33% (-3.636 -3.64)29.66% (3.631 3.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.28% (-4.651 -4.65)65.71% (4.647 4.65)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.67% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)6.32% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.22% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)23.77% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 14.33%
    Bayern Munich 69.77%
    Draw 15.89%
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.82% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-0 @ 2.28% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.406 -0.41)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-0 @ 1.39% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 14.33%
1-1 @ 6.29% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.391 -0.39)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.38 -0.38)
0-0 @ 1.88% (0.242 0.24)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 15.89%
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.262 0.26)
1-3 @ 8% (0.221 0.22)
0-2 @ 7.15% (0.888 0.89)
0-3 @ 6.58% (0.802 0.8)
1-4 @ 5.52% (0.138 0.14)
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.655 0.65)
2-3 @ 4.86% (-0.374 -0.37)
0-4 @ 4.54% (0.544 0.54)
2-4 @ 3.35% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-5 @ 3.05% (0.068 0.07)
0-5 @ 2.51% (0.294 0.29)
2-5 @ 1.85% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-6 @ 1.4% (0.028 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.36% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-6 @ 1.15% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 69.77%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Bayern

Wolfsburg
19.8%
Draw
8.5%
Bayern Munich
71.7%
106
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
Dec 17, 2021 7.30pm
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Weghorst (35'), Philipp (54')
Otavio (57'), Mbabu (86')
Musiala (15', 37'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (24')
Hernandez (79')
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Wolfsburg
Lewandowski (45+1', 50')
Gnabry (69'), Sane (84'), Coman (90')
Philipp (5')
Arnold (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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