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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
43.61% ( 0.37) | 24.1% ( -0.09) | 32.29% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 59.9% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.59% ( 0.29) | 42.41% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% ( 0.29) | 64.82% ( -0.29) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.34% ( 0.28) | 19.65% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.37% ( 0.45) | 51.63% ( -0.46) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% ( -0.03) | 25.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% ( -0.04) | 60.26% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
4 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
9 | Heidenheim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
12 | Augsburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
16 | St Pauli | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
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