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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.34%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 20% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-3 (7.19%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
20% ( 0.05) | 19.66% ( 0.09) | 60.34% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 63.46% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.69% ( -0.37) | 32.31% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.07% ( -0.43) | 53.93% ( 0.43) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.91% ( -0.17) | 29.09% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.99% ( -0.21) | 65.01% ( 0.21) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.49% ( -0.15) | 10.51% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.81% ( -0.33) | 34.19% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 20% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.66% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 7.19% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.35% Total : 60.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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