Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Veltins-Arena

Schalke
2 - 2
Dortmund

Bulter (50'), Karaman (79')
Brunner (55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Schlotterbeck (38'), Guerreiro (60')
Can (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Schalke 04

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Schalke
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, March 7 at 8.10pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Schalke 04 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

While they have improved dramatically in recent weeks, Schalke's mettle will truly be tested by fired-up local rivals aiming for the title. Dortmund's disappointment at exiting Europe will quickly dim, and with so much at stake they can produce at least a couple of goals and another Revierderby victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.34%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 20% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-3 (7.19%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Schalke 04	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
20% ( 0.05)	19.66% ( 0.09)	60.34% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 63.46% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.69% (

-0.37)

32.31% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.07% (

-0.43)

53.93% (

0.43)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91% (

-0.17)

29.09% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.99% (

-0.21)

65.01% (

0.21)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.49% (

-0.15)

10.51% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.81% (

-0.33)

34.19% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Schalke 04 20%

Borussia Dortmund 60.34%

Draw 19.66%

Schalke 04	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 20%	1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.66%	1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 7.19% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.35% Total : 60.34%