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Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Dortmund logo

Schalke
2 - 2
Dortmund

Bulter (50'), Karaman (79')
Brunner (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Schlotterbeck (38'), Guerreiro (60')
Can (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Schalke
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, March 7 at 8.10pm in Champions League

We said: Schalke 04 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

While they have improved dramatically in recent weeks, Schalke's mettle will truly be tested by fired-up local rivals aiming for the title. Dortmund's disappointment at exiting Europe will quickly dim, and with so much at stake they can produce at least a couple of goals and another Revierderby victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.34%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 20% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-3 (7.19%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Schalke 04DrawBorussia Dortmund
20% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 19.66% (0.089000000000002 0.09) 60.34% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 63.46% (-0.256 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.69% (-0.366 -0.37)32.31% (0.366 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.07% (-0.428 -0.43)53.93% (0.427 0.43)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)29.09% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.99% (-0.21 -0.21)65.01% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.49% (-0.146 -0.15)10.51% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.81% (-0.33 -0.33)34.19% (0.329 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 20%
    Borussia Dortmund 60.34%
    Draw 19.66%
Schalke 04DrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.25% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.78% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.33% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 20%
1-1 @ 8.51% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.66%
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.76% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 7.19% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.83% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.44% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.05% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.5% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 60.34%

How you voted: Schalke vs Dortmund

Schalke 04
14.0%
Draw
7.4%
Borussia Dortmund
78.5%
121
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Feb 20, 2021 5.30pm
Schalke
0-4
Dortmund

Hoppe (14'), Kolasinac (66')
Sancho (42'), Braut Haaland (45', 79'), Guerreiro (60')
Bellingham (63'), Dahoud (64')
Oct 24, 2020 5.30pm
May 16, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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