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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Hertha Berlin logo

Dortmund
4 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Adeyemi (27'), Malen (31'), Reus (76'), Brandt (90')
Ryerson (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tousart (46')
Cigerci (58'), Rogel (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 4-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, February 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Hertha Berlin

Although Hertha Berlin crushed Gladbach last time out, Schwarz's side will struggle to continue their mini-revival against in-form Borussia Dortmund. After all, BVB have won six of their last seven Bundesliga home games, meaning that Terzic's men should extend their winning streak to eight games without any real problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 75.63%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 9.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHertha Berlin
75.63%14.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0) 9.67% (-0.00090000000000146 -0)
Both teams to score 53.77% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.46% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)31.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.03% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)25.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)42.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.38% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)78.62% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 75.62%
    Hertha Berlin 9.67%
    Draw 14.7%
Borussia DortmundDrawHertha Berlin
2-0 @ 10.42%
3-0 @ 9.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.99%
3-1 @ 8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 6.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 5.33%
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 3.3%
5-1 @ 2.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.3%
6-0 @ 1.47%
6-1 @ 1.26%
5-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 75.62%
1-1 @ 6.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 14.7%
1-2 @ 2.91%
0-1 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 1.12%
0-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 9.67%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hertha Berlin

Borussia Dortmund
85.3%
Draw
10.7%
Hertha Berlin
4.0%
75
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-2
Dortmund
Belfodil (51'), Richter (57', 69')
Brandt (31'), Tigges (83')
Pongracic (90+5')
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-5
Dortmund
Cunha (33', 79' pen.)
Cunha (61')
Braut Haaland (47', 49', 62', 79'), Guerreiro (70')
Guerreiro (10')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern44001631312
2Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen430113949
4Freiburg43018449
5Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt43017439
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin42204228
7RB Leipzig42204228
8Stuttgart421112847
9Heidenheim42028716
10Mainz 05Mainz41218805
11Werder Bremen412148-45
12Augsburg4112710-34
13Wolfsburg410389-13
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach410358-33
15Hoffenheim4103611-53
16St Pauli401316-51
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel4013513-81


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