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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 75.63%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 9.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
75.63% | 14.7% ( -0) | 9.67% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.77% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.46% ( -0.01) | 31.55% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.97% ( -0.01) | 53.03% ( 0.01) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.05% ( -0) | 6.95% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.53% ( -0.01) | 25.47% ( 0) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.79% ( -0.01) | 42.21% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.38% ( -0.01) | 78.62% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
2-0 @ 10.42% 3-0 @ 9.27% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.99% 3-1 @ 8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.33% 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.3% 5-1 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.3% 6-0 @ 1.47% 6-1 @ 1.26% 5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.77% Total : 75.62% | 1-1 @ 6.75% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 14.7% | 1-2 @ 2.91% 0-1 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.02% Total : 9.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
4 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
9 | Heidenheim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
12 | Augsburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
16 | St Pauli | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
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