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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Union Berlin |
30.2% ( 0.07) | 25.64% ( 0.05) | 44.16% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.9% ( -0.17) | 50.09% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.93% ( -0.15) | 72.06% ( 0.15) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.39% ( -0.04) | 30.61% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.15% ( -0.05) | 66.84% ( 0.04) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% ( -0.13) | 22.62% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.75% ( -0.2) | 56.24% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 30.2% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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