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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
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Hertha Berlin
0 - 2
Union Berlin


Boateng (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doekhi (44'), Seguin (67')
Khedira (49'), Seguin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-5 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-3 Union Berlin

 Hertha's relative solidity under Schwarz prior to the World Cup appears to have gone out of the window since returning to action last weekend, with disappointing defeats to VfL Bochum and Wolfsburg seeing them drop into the automatic relegation places . As such, we are struggling to see beyond a fifth consecutive victory for Union in the Berlin derby, with Fischer's side looking well set to challenge for a Champions League qualification position once again this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawUnion Berlin
30.2% (0.073 0.07) 25.64% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 44.16% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 53.69% (-0.121 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (-0.173 -0.17)50.09% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (-0.154 -0.15)72.06% (0.15400000000001 0.15)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)30.61% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)66.84% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (-0.133 -0.13)22.62% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (-0.198 -0.2)56.24% (0.198 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 30.2%
    Union Berlin 44.16%
    Draw 25.63%
Hertha BerlinDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 8.2% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.21% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 30.2%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 10.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 44.16%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Union Berlin

Hertha Berlin
10.4%
Draw
3.9%
Union Berlin
85.7%
77
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Union Berlin
3-1
Hertha Berlin
Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (50'), Knoche (54')
Knoche (35'), Leweling (90+3')
Lukebakio (85')
Uremovic (52'), Sunjic (77'), Lukebakio (87')
Apr 9, 2022 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Union Berlin
Baumgartl (49' og.)
Lotka (13'), Jovetic (20'), Kempf (61'), Tousart (65')
Haraguchi (31'), Promel (53'), Becker (74'), Michel (85')
Jan 19, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
Hertha Berlin
2-3
Union Berlin
Khedira (54' og.), Serdar (90+5')
Serdar (15')
Voglsammer (11'), Stark (50' og.), Knoche (55')
Oztunali (43')
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
Union Berlin
2-0
Hertha Berlin
Awoniyi (8'), Trimmel (30')
Promel (66')

Serdar (38')
Apr 4, 2021 5pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Andrich (10')
Ryerson (17'), Promel (28')
Lukebakio (35' pen.)
Guendouzi (28'), Tousart (45'), Torunarigha (53'), Ascacibar (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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