MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 07:25:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
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Mainz logo
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Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
Union Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Hoffenheim logo

Union Berlin
3 - 1
Hoffenheim

Doekhi (73', 89'), Leweling (90+6')
Giesselmann (45+2'), Seguin (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bebou (43')
Kabak (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Hoffenheim

With both sides in need of a win after a poor run before the break, Union's superb home form may be what gets them over the line here. With a squad of players so capable in attack, Hoffenheim have the ability to get a result, but their inconsistency means it is impossible to know what to expect from them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
51.86% (-1.274 -1.27) 24.35% (0.212 0.21) 23.78% (1.064 1.06)
Both teams to score 52.56% (0.592 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.173 0.17)49.12% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.157 0.16)71.19% (-0.154 -0.15)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (-0.426 -0.43)18.92% (0.429 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (-0.717 -0.72)50.42% (0.72 0.72)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (1.068 1.07)35.17% (-1.065 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (1.097 1.1)71.92% (-1.096 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 51.85%
    Hoffenheim 23.78%
    Draw 24.35%
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.322 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.222 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 23.78%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim

Union Berlin
80.4%
Draw
11.8%
Hoffenheim
7.8%
51
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
Hoffenheim
Voglsammer (22'), Promel (73')
Baumgartl (16' og.)
Akpoguma (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Geiger (85')
Aug 22, 2021 2.30pm
Feb 28, 2021 12.30pm
Nov 2, 2020 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
1-3
Union Berlin
Dabour (80')
Baumgartner (90')
Skov (58')
Kruse (60' pen.), Pohjanpalo (85'), Teuchert (90+4')
Luthe (63'), Griesbeck (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg113351323-1012
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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