MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 13:40:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Union Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Hoffenheim logo

Union Berlin
3 - 1
Hoffenheim

Doekhi (73', 89'), Leweling (90+6')
Giesselmann (45+2'), Seguin (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bebou (43')
Kabak (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 4-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, November 13 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Hoffenheim

 With both sides in need of a win after a poor run before the break, Union's superb home form may be what gets them over the line here. With a squad of players so capable in attack, Hoffenheim have the ability to get a result, but their inconsistency means it is impossible to know what to expect from them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
51.86% (-1.274 -1.27) 24.35% (0.212 0.21) 23.78% (1.064 1.06)
Both teams to score 52.56% (0.592 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.173 0.17)49.12% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.157 0.16)71.19% (-0.154 -0.15)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (-0.426 -0.43)18.92% (0.429 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (-0.717 -0.72)50.42% (0.72 0.72)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (1.068 1.07)35.17% (-1.065 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (1.097 1.1)71.92% (-1.096 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 51.85%
    Hoffenheim 23.78%
    Draw 24.35%
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.322 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.222 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 23.78%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim

Union Berlin
80.4%
Draw
11.8%
Hoffenheim
7.8%
51
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
Hoffenheim
Voglsammer (22'), Promel (73')
Baumgartl (16' og.)
Akpoguma (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Geiger (85')
Aug 22, 2021 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-2
Union Berlin
Akpoguma (14'), Bruun Larsen (30')
Samassekou (80')
Giesselmann (10'), Awoniyi (47')
Khedira (45'), Friedrich (82')
Friedrich (90+4')
Feb 28, 2021 12.30pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Hoffenheim
Kruse (9' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (29' og.)
Richards (79'), Vogt (90+4')
Nov 2, 2020 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
1-3
Union Berlin
Dabour (80')
Baumgartner (90')
Skov (58')
Kruse (60' pen.), Pohjanpalo (85'), Teuchert (90+4')
Luthe (63'), Griesbeck (71')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
4-0
Union Berlin
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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