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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Dortmund logo

Hoffenheim
0 - 1
Dortmund


Kabak (27'), Baumann (57'), Vogt (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brandt (43')
Bellingham (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Hoffenheim
Friday, February 17 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, February 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

 While the absence of Adeyemi could make Dortmund a less potent threat in transition, they will surely still possess enough firepower to swat aside a woefully out-of-sorts Hoffenheim side. Saturday's meeting represents bottom versus top as far as the form table is concerned, with the visitors growing in belief that they can push Bayern all of the way for the league title this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 55.81%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.14%) and 1-3 (6.74%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
23.46% (0.197 0.2) 20.72% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 55.81% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 64.78% (0.337 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.15% (0.328 0.33)32.84% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.45% (0.376 0.38)54.54% (-0.38 -0.38)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (0.337 0.34)26.49% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (0.447 0.45)61.68% (-0.449 -0.45)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.12% (0.054000000000002 0.05)11.87% (-0.057 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.82% (0.11799999999999 0.12)37.17% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 23.46%
    Borussia Dortmund 55.81%
    Draw 20.72%
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.91% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.035 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 23.46%
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.039 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.14% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.48% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.59% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.7% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.38% (0.025 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.53% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.15% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.022 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 55.81%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Dortmund

Hoffenheim
11.0%
Draw
7.3%
Borussia Dortmund
81.7%
109
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (45+1'), Rutter (77')
Rudy (66'), Dabour (90+3')
Braut Haaland (6'), Reus (58'), Raum (66' og.)
Hummels (49'), Bellingham (90+5')
Aug 27, 2021 7.30pm
Dortmund
3-2
Hoffenheim
Reyna (49'), Bellingham (69'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
Dahoud (36'), Meunier (54')
Baumgartner (61'), Dabour (90')
Baumgartner (1'), Posch (7'), Geiger (20')
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-2
Hoffenheim
Sancho (24'), Braut Haaland (81')
Delaney (21'), Akanji (67')
Dabour (31'), Bebou (51')
Rudy (27'), Grillitsch (57'), Vogt (59'), Posch (60'), Samassekou (65'), Dabour (85'), Gacinovic (90+2')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
0-1
Dortmund

Posch (58')
Reus (76')
Reyna (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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