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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Stuttgart

Hoffenheim
2 - 2
Stuttgart

Kramaric (11', 90+4')
Akpoguma (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guirassy (45+5'), Endo (77')
Karazor (66'), Ahamada (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Mainz
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Stuttgart

This is destined to be a cagey affair between two sides struggling at the bottom end of the table, so Hoffenheim should be able to end their four-game losing run with a draw on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawStuttgart
52.82% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 22.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.86% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 60.61% (-0.173 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.96% (-0.177 -0.18)39.04% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.64% (-0.186 -0.19)61.36% (0.189 0.19)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)14.88% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.77% (-0.061 -0.06)43.22% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (-0.176 -0.18)28.8% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (-0.221 -0.22)64.65% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 52.82%
    Stuttgart 24.86%
    Draw 22.32%
HoffenheimDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.15%
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 52.82%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 24.86%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart

Hoffenheim
62.4%
Draw
24.7%
Stuttgart
12.9%
85
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2022 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-1
Stuttgart
Baumgartner (85', 90')
Geiger (16'), Baumgartner (33'), Hubner (45+4')
Endo (58')
Anton (81'), Forster (90+5')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Mar 14, 2021 5pm
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-3
Stuttgart
Baumgartner (16'), Sessegnon (48'), Kramaric (71' pen.)
Sessegnon (4'), Posch (77'), Geiger (90+4')
Gonzalez (18'), Wamangituka (27'), Kempf (90+2')
Castro (30'), Kempf (89')
Mar 16, 2019 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-1
Hoffenheim
Zuber (66')
Castro (45'), Zuber (68'), Ascacibar (69'), Kabak (75')
Kramaric (42')
Joelinton (59'), Schulz (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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