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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
33.65% ( 0.16) | 26.12% ( 0.18) | 40.23% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 53.45% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49% ( -0.7) | 51% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.13% ( -0.62) | 72.87% ( 0.62) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.24% ( -0.24) | 28.76% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.4% ( -0.31) | 64.6% ( 0.31) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.03% ( -0.49) | 24.97% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.38% ( -0.68) | 59.61% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.65% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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