Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
4 - 0
Frankfurt

Bellingham (19'), Malen (24', 66'), Hummels (41')
Bellingham (54'), Adeyemi (82')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Lenz (12'), Kolo (24'), Rode (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Dortmund
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

As was the case during the latter part of last season when they were chasing glory in the Europa League, Frankfurt appear to have checked out of the Bundesliga to some extent, as winning the DFB-Pokal is firmly within their sights. As such, we expect Dortmund to bounce back with a crucial victory, but it will not be enough to see them return to the top of the table unless Mainz can do them a favour by beating Bayern earlier in the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 14.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
67.7% ( 0.14)	17.46% ( -0.04)	14.84% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 60.55% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.88% (

-0.04)

31.12% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.47% (

-0.05)

52.53% (

0.04)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.53% (

0.02)

8.46% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.63% (

0.05)

29.36% (

-0.05)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.15% (

-0.16)

33.84% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.49% (

-0.17)

70.51% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 67.7%

Eintracht Frankfurt 14.84%

Draw 17.46%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 67.7%	1-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 17.46%	1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 14.84%