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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Apr 4, 2023 at 5pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Union Berlin logo

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Kolo (11', 12')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 VfL Bochum
Friday, March 31 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Union Berlin (Union win on penalties)

 Though Union have been in the ascendancy of late, Frankfurt are generally a tough nut to crack on home soil. Having both dropped out of Europe, this represents both teams' only realistic route to a trophy, so a fiercely-fought contest could even go all the way to spot-kicks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawUnion Berlin
48.16% (-1.766 -1.77) 25.7% (0.535 0.54) 26.14% (1.233 1.23)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-0.491 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.38% (-1.191 -1.19)52.62% (1.193 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.73% (-1.028 -1.03)74.27% (1.031 1.03)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-1.246 -1.25)21.86% (1.248 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.9% (-1.933 -1.93)55.1% (1.935 1.94)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.96% (0.40300000000001 0.4)35.04% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.21% (0.417 0.42)71.79% (-0.41499999999999 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 48.15%
    Union Berlin 26.14%
    Draw 25.69%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 11.64% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 48.15%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 7.66% (0.355 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.455 0.45)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.197 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.282 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 26.14%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Union Berlin

Eintracht Frankfurt
36.7%
Draw
20.3%
Union Berlin
43.0%
128
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-0
Frankfurt
Khedira (53'), Behrens (75')
Knoche (60'), Roussillon (77'), Ronnow (90+1')

Tuta (57'), Kolo (83')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Frankfurt
2-0
Union Berlin
Gotze (12'), Lindstrom (42')

Becker (19')
Apr 17, 2022 4.30pm
Union Berlin
2-0
Frankfurt
Awoniyi (17'), Promel (21')
Baumgartl (71'), Michel (90+2')

Lenz (70')
Nov 28, 2021 2.30pm
Frankfurt
2-1
Union Berlin
Sow (22'), N'Dicka (90+5')
Kruse (62' pen.)
Promel (39'), Knoche (59'), Luthe (90+3'), Becker (90+4')
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
Frankfurt
5-2
Union Berlin
Silva (2', 41'), Andrich (35' og.), Kostic (39'), Chandler (90+2')
Hasebe (72'), A. (84')
Kruse (7', 45+3')
Teuchert (86'), Andrich (89')
rhs 2.0
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