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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Koln logo

Union Berlin
0 - 0
FC Koln


Siebatcheu (90+2')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, February 26 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln

 In addition to suffering two straight losses, FC Koln have failed to score in four of their previous five outings, putting Union Berlin in pole position to claim all three points on Saturday. Given that last weekend's defeat was Union's first since November, the Irons Ones should return to winning ways on home soil, keeping a clean sheet in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
54.47% (-1.386 -1.39) 23.64% (0.205 0.21) 21.89% (1.178 1.18)
Both teams to score 52.47% (1.01 1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (0.51300000000001 0.51)48.1% (-0.516 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (0.471 0.47)70.26% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)17.55% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.91% (-0.554 -0.55)48.08% (0.55 0.55)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (1.461 1.46)36.36% (-1.464 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (1.45 1.45)73.14% (-1.452 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 54.47%
    FC Koln 21.89%
    Draw 23.63%
Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 11.1% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.66% (-0.41 -0.41)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.182 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.265 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.185 0.19)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.124 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 21.89%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs FC Koln

Union Berlin
87.7%
Draw
5.5%
FC Koln
6.8%
73
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 2.30pm
FC Koln
0-1
Union Berlin

Kilian (10')
Hubers (4' og.)
Apr 1, 2022 7.30pm
Union Berlin
1-0
FC Koln
Awoniyi (49')
Jaeckel (5'), Becker (42'), Trimmel (55')

Ehizibue (13'), Hubers (62'), Thielmann (75')
Nov 7, 2021 4.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Union Berlin
Modeste (7', 86')
Modeste (17'), Duda (54')
Ryerson (9'), Promel (45+1')
Baumgartl (16'), Luthe (18')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
FC Koln
Kruse (48' pen.), Trimmel (67')
Musa (32'), Andrich (88')
Duda (45+2' pen.)
Horn (11'), Ozcan (81'), Skhiri (85')
Nov 22, 2020 5pm
FC Koln
1-2
Union Berlin
Skhiri (36')
Duda (31')
Awoniyi (27'), Kruse (72')
Ingvartsen (35'), Giesselmann (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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