Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

May 13, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
5 - 2
Borussia M'bach

Malen (5'), Bellingham (18' pen.), Haller (20', 32'), Reyna (90+4')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Bensebaini (75' pen.), Stindl (85')
Bensebaini (77'), Kramer (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 6-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, May 7 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Dortmund 4-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

When you couple Dortmund's strong home form with Gladbach's woeful record on the road, all the signs point towards another convincing BVB win at Signal Iduna Park. Given that Terzic's men have been firing in goals for fun on home soil, we can see Dortmund notching a high-scoring victory at the expense of the Foals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 78.22%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 8.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
78.22% ( -0.03)	12.86% ( 0.02)	8.91% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 58.9% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.79% (

-0.08)

24.2% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.13% (

-0.1)

43.87% (

0.11)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.05% (

-0.02)

4.94% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.18% (

-0.06)

19.81% (

0.06)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.96% (

-0.04)

38.04% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.19% (

-0.04)

74.8% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 78.22%

Borussia Monchengladbach 8.91%

Draw 12.86%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
3-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.41% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.85% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) 6-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.48% Total : 78.22%	1-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.97% 0-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 12.86%	1-2 @ 2.64% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 8.91%