Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Stuttgart
2 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Guirassy (22'), Coulibaly (83' pen.)
Zagadou (77'), Karazor (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Weigl (78' pen.)
Weigl (45+1'), Lainer (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Stuttgart
Friday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, April 23 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Although Gladbach clearly possess some talented players at their disposal, Stuttgart could hardly have asked for a more winnable fixture as they desperately seek to avoid finishing in the bottom three positions. Die Fohlen have been wretched on the road all season long and have very little beyond personal pride to play for at this stage of the season, so we expect Hoeness's improved outfit to claim all three points ahead of their cup semi-final tie in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
56% ( 0.35)	21.69% ( -0.05)	22.31% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 59.6% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.08% (

-0.11)

38.92% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.76% (

-0.12)

61.24% (

0.12)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.18% (

0.07)

13.81% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.84% (

0.14)

41.16% (

-0.14)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

-0.32)

30.84% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88% (

-0.38)

67.12% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 56%

Borussia Monchengladbach 22.31%

Draw 21.69%

Stuttgart	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 56%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.69%	1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 22.31%