Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

May 7, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
6 - 0
Wolfsburg

Adeyemi (14', 59'), Haller (28'), Malen (37'), Bellingham (54', 86')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Fischer (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Dortmund
Friday, April 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Mainz
Sunday, April 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Wolfsburg

This season, 20 of Borussia Dortmund's 30 league games have produced at least three goals, while Wolfsburg have scored eight goals across their past two matches. With that in mind, we can see Dortmund and Wolfsburg dishing up a high-scoring thriller on Sunday, with the hosts expected to outscore the visitors to keep their title dreams alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Wolfsburg
60.28% ( 0.02)	20.7% ( -0.02)	19.01%

Both teams to score 57.74% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.07% (

0.11)

38.93% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.75% (

0.11)

61.25% (

-0.12)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.45% (

0.04)

12.54% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.41% (

0.08)

38.58% (

-0.09)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.02% (

0.06)

33.97% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.35% (

0.07)

70.65% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 60.28%

Wolfsburg 19.01%

Draw 20.7%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 60.28%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.7%	1-2 @ 5.16% 0-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 19.01%