Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 16, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Wolfsburg
0 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Amiri (61'), Hincapie (72'), Odilon (77'), Diaby (85'), Wirtz (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, April 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Union SG
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen

Both teams can be proud of how much they have improved as the season has worn on under their new managers, and we can envisage a hard-fought battle between two well-coached sides. Neither side will want to lose with European qualification still up for grabs, and it would not be a surprise if the match plays out with a share of the spoils as the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
31.52% ( -1.02)	23.66% ( 0.47)	44.81% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 61.14% (

-2.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.35% (

-2.69)

40.65% (

2.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.97% (

-2.81)

63.03% (

2.81)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

-1.89)

25.04% (

1.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

-2.7)

59.72% (

2.7)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.57% (

-0.85)

18.43% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.4% (

-1.46)

49.6% (

1.46)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 31.52%

Bayer Leverkusen 44.81%

Draw 23.65%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.52%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.55) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.65%	1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.73) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.57% Total : 44.81%