Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 16, 2023 at 8pm UK

Groupama Aréna

Ferencvaros
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen

(Bayer Leverkusen win 4-0 on aggregate)

Cherchesov (40')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Diaby (3'), Adli (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ferencvaros and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ferencvaros

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Ferencvaros
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ferencvaros 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

While Ferencvaros should not be written off from carrying out an impressive turnaround with home advantage on their side, we expect Leverkusen to progress on Thursday. Alonso has hugely improved the club's fortunes since replacing Gerardo Seoane earlier this season, and they undoubtedly have the pace and quality to punish the hosts in transition should they push for a goal too early on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Ferencvaros	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
43.68% ( -0.03)	24.08% ( 0.01)	32.23% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 59.94% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.65% (

-0.04)

42.35% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.24% (

-0.04)

64.75% (

0.04)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.4% (

-0.02)

19.6% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.46% (

-0.04)

51.53% (

0.04)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56% (

-0.01)

25.44% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.73% (

-0.01)

60.26% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Ferencvaros 43.68%

Bayer Leverkusen 32.23%

Draw 24.08%

Ferencvaros	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 43.68%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.08%	1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.23%