Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 19, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen2 - 1Bayern
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ferencvaros 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Bayern 5-3 Augsburg
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 1-3 Bayern Munich
This should be a hugely entertaining match between two teams containing plenty of attacking firepower. Bayern have only kept two clean sheets in nine league games since returning from the World Cup, so Leverkusen will certainly fancy their chances of scoring. However, the Bavarians could find themselves back down in second spot if Dortmund beat Koln as expected on Sunday, so they will be doubly determined to secure a victory and head into the international break at the Bundesliga's summit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.1%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.54%) and 0-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
23.6% ( 0.25) | 21.3% ( -0.02) | 55.1% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 62.78% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.47% ( 0.38) | 35.53% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.42% ( 0.42) | 57.58% ( -0.42) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( 0.41) | 27.87% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.52% ( 0.52) | 63.48% ( -0.52) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( 0.06) | 12.96% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.56% ( 0.12) | 39.44% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen 23.6%
Bayern Munich 55.1%
Draw 21.3%
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.57% Total : 23.6% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.3% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.11)0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.35% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.1% |
How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Bayern
Bayer Leverkusen
14.3%Draw
8.3%Bayern Munich
77.4%84
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2022 7.30pm
Oct 17, 2021 2.30pm
Apr 20, 2021 7.30pm
Bayern
2-0
B. Leverkusen
Maxim Choupo-Moting (7'), Kimmich (13')
Dec 19, 2020 5.30pm
Form Guide
