While we expect Union SG to pose Leverkusen with plenty of headaches across the course of this encounter, the Germans have become a consistent outfit during Alonso's reign, and we believe that they will head to Saint-Gilloise with a healthy lead to protect in the return leg next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Union SG
51.4% ( -0.02)	23.66% ( 0.01)	24.95% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.09% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.94% (

-0.02)

45.06% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.59% (

-0.02)

67.41% (

0.02)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.44% (

-0.02)

17.56% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.89% (

-0.03)

48.11% (

0.03)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04%

31.96% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.58% (

-0)

68.42% (

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 51.4%

Union SG 24.95%

Draw 23.65%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 51.4%	1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.65%	0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 24.95%