Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen1 - 1Union SG
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Union SG
While we expect Union SG to pose Leverkusen with plenty of headaches across the course of this encounter, the Germans have become a consistent outfit during Alonso's reign, and we believe that they will head to Saint-Gilloise with a healthy lead to protect in the return leg next week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union SG |
51.4% ( -0.02) | 23.66% ( 0.01) | 24.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.09% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.94% ( -0.02) | 45.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.59% ( -0.02) | 67.41% ( 0.02) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( -0.02) | 17.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.89% ( -0.03) | 48.11% ( 0.03) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% | 31.96% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.58% ( -0) | 68.42% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen 51.4%
Union SG 24.95%
Draw 23.65%
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 51.4% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 24.95% |
How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Union SG
Bayer Leverkusen
83.6%Draw
10.1%Union SG
6.3%189
Form Guide
