Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Union SG3 - 3Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, October 9 at 8pm in Belgian Pro League
Sunday, October 9 at 8pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Braga 0-1 Chaves
Sunday, October 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Union SG 2-1 Braga
Union SG will welcome the challenge of an out-of-sorts Braga side, who have lost each of their last three matches. The Belgian side have been rock-solid on home turf, where they have won six of their last seven outings, and we predict that they will maintain their perfect European record with a slender victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.36%) and 1-0 (4.84%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Braga |
43.37% ( 0.1) | 21.51% ( 0.02) | 35.12% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 70.82% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.41% ( -0.16) | 28.58% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.53% ( -0.2) | 49.47% ( 0.19) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.8% ( -0.03) | 14.2% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.08% ( -0.06) | 41.91% ( 0.05) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( -0.13) | 17.46% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.07% ( -0.22) | 47.92% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Union SG 43.37%
Braga 35.12%
Draw 21.51%
| Union SG | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.7% Total : 43.37% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.12% |
How you voted: Union SG vs Braga
Union SG
60.0%Draw
20.0%Braga
20.0%90
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 8pm
