Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 2
Union SG

Ruiz (49')
Tormena (23'), Silva (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nilsson (86', 90+4')
Teuma (17'), Moris (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Porto 4-1 Braga
Friday, September 30 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union SG

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Leuven 0-3 Union SG
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga have been near impenetrable at the Estadio Braga Municipal and will be looking to return to winning ways following their defeat against Porto. While Union SG have proven to be a tough nut to crack so far, we are backing Jorge's side to come away with a slender victory, given the gulf in quality and experience between the two squads. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Union SG
46.93% ( 0.03)	23.79% ( -0.01)	29.27% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 59.34% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.56% (

0.02)

42.44% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.15% (

0.02)

64.85% (

-0.02)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72% (

0.02)

18.28% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.65% (

0.03)

49.35% (

-0.03)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62% (

-0)

27.38% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15% (

-0.01)

62.85% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Braga 46.93%

Union SG 29.27%

Draw 23.79%

Braga	Draw	Union SG
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.56% Total : 46.93%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.79%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.27%