Despite their contrasting records in this competition during 2022-23, Malmo have been far more competitive than you would assume. Nevertheless, with little to play for, we do not expect the Swedish outfit to go the extra mile to match Union SG, who are motivated to earn qualification with a game to spare. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-0 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Malmo	Draw	Union SG
23.47% ( -0.01)	23.29% ( 0.05)	53.23% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 55.61% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.09% (

-0.25)

44.91% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.73% (

-0.24)

67.26% (

0.23)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.86% (

-0.14)

33.13% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.26% (

-0.16)

69.73% (

0.15)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.16% (

-0.11)

16.83% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.17% (

-0.19)

46.82% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Malmo 23.47%

Union SG 53.23%

Draw 23.29%

Malmo	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 23.47%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.29%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.23%