Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
29.94% ( -0.21) | 23.89% ( -0.02) | 46.16% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 59.44% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.49% ( -0.04) | 42.5% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.09% ( -0.04) | 64.91% ( 0.03) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.03% ( -0.16) | 26.96% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.69% ( -0.2) | 62.3% ( 0.2) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% ( 0.08) | 18.62% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.08% ( 0.13) | 49.92% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.94% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 46.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |