Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 25

Mar 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 1
Schalke

Maier (51')
Vargas (62'), Gikiewicz (78'), Cardona (90+2'), Gouweleeuw (90+2')
Demirovic (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bulter (90+3' pen.)
Balanta (5'), Kral (12'), Jenz (63'), Frey (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Bayern 5-3 Augsburg
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Schalke 04

All competitions

Last Game: Schalke 2-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Augsburg 1-1 Schalke 04

The form book makes this a difficult match to call, with Augsburg winning each of their last four home matches, but Schalke generating an impressive unbeaten run in recent weeks. As such, both managers may not be too disappointed with avoiding defeat, especially as that would allow the hosts to keep a healthy distance between themselves and the relegation zone. We can envisage a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Schalke 04
35.29% ( 0.07)	25.76% ( 0.04)	38.95% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 54.96% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.8% (

-0.18)

49.19% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.74% (

-0.16)

71.25% (

0.16)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.11% (

-0.04)

26.88% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.8% (

-0.05)

62.19% (

0.05)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16% (

-0.15)

24.83% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.58% (

-0.2)

59.41% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 35.29%

Schalke 04 38.95%

Draw 25.75%

Augsburg	Draw	Schalke 04
1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.29%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.95%