Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Mar 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
2 - 1
Werder Bremen

Beljo (5'), Maier (46')
Veiga (28'), Pedersen (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stage (16')
Bittencourt (60'), Gross (61'), Ducksch (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Augsburg 1-0 Werder Bremen

Augsburg have upped their game at the WWK Arena of late, meaning that Maassen's men should give Werder Bremen a run for their money on Saturday. Having claimed three successive 1-0 victories on home soil, Augsburg look set to edge out Werder, who are on course to suffer a fifth defeat in six away outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Augsburg.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Werder Bremen
37.81% ( -0.54)	25.08% ( -0.05)	37.1% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 57.46% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.96% (

0.26)

46.03% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.66% (

0.24)

68.34% (

-0.25)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99% (

-0.17)

24% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.74% (

-0.24)

58.25% (

0.24)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.61% (

0.44)

24.38% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.2% (

0.62)

58.79% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 37.81%

Werder Bremen 37.1%

Draw 25.08%

Augsburg	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.81%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08%	1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.1%