Augsburg2 - 1Werder Bremen
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Augsburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Augsburg have upped their game at the WWK Arena of late, meaning that Maassen's men should give Werder Bremen a run for their money on Saturday. Having claimed three successive 1-0 victories on home soil, Augsburg look set to edge out Werder, who are on course to suffer a fifth defeat in six away outings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Augsburg.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
37.81% ( -0.54) | 25.08% ( -0.05) | 37.1% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 57.46% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( 0.26) | 46.03% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.66% ( 0.24) | 68.34% ( -0.25) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( -0.17) | 24% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.74% ( -0.24) | 58.25% ( 0.24) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( 0.44) | 24.38% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.2% ( 0.62) | 58.79% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.1% |
