MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:29:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Augsburg
2 - 1
Werder Bremen

Beljo (5'), Maier (46')
Veiga (28'), Pedersen (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stage (16')
Bittencourt (60'), Gross (61'), Ducksch (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-0 Werder Bremen

 Augsburg have upped their game at the WWK Arena of late, meaning that Maassen's men should give Werder Bremen a run for their money on Saturday. Having claimed three successive 1-0 victories on home soil, Augsburg look set to edge out Werder, who are on course to suffer a fifth defeat in six away outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Augsburg.

Result
AugsburgDrawWerder Bremen
37.81% (-0.54 -0.54) 25.08% (-0.052 -0.05) 37.1% (0.587 0.59)
Both teams to score 57.46% (0.207 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (0.25700000000001 0.26)46.03% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.66% (0.243 0.24)68.34% (-0.247 -0.25)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)24% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74% (-0.244 -0.24)58.25% (0.238 0.24)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (0.437 0.44)24.38% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (0.617 0.62)58.79% (-0.621 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 37.81%
    Werder Bremen 37.1%
    Draw 25.08%
AugsburgDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.35% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.96% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 37.81%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
1-2 @ 8.32% (0.081 0.08)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.83% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.074 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 37.1%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Werder Bremen

Augsburg
66.7%
Draw
20.5%
Werder Bremen
12.8%
39
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2022 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-1
Augsburg

Gross (25')
Demirovic (63')
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-0
Werder Bremen
Khedira (57'), Caligiuri (90' pen.)
Gikiewicz (45+1'), Richter (65'), Hahn (90+2')
Vargas (13')

Gross (42'), Moisander (90+2')
Gross (49')
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
2-0
Augsburg
Gebre Selassie (84'), Agu (87')

Caligiuri (32')
Feb 1, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-1
Werder Bremen
Niederlechner (67'), Vargas (82')
Baier (76'), Max (88')
Jedvaj (23' og.)
Eggestein (48'), Toprak (66'), Bartels (69'), Bittencourt (74'), Selke (90')
Sep 1, 2019 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
3-2
Augsburg
Osako (6', 67'), Sargent (21')
Pavlenka (92')
Vargas (12', 46')
Lichtsteiner (23'), Vargas (26'), Niederlechner (90')
Lichtsteiner (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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