Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
